Gross Domestic
Product (GDP). A way to
gauge an economys health, GDP
represents the market value of all goods
and services produced in a nation during
a specific period. The Federal Reserve
uses such information to adjust monetary
policy, which includes raising and
lowering interest rates (www.bea.gov). Money Supply
(M2). This figure
represents the total of all the money a
country has in circulation. The Fed uses
it to assess economic conditions and to
help alter monetary policy; economists
use it to predict recessions and
recoveries and expected changes in stock
prices (www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6).
Consumer Price Index (CPI). Essentially
a measure of individuals
cost-of-living changes, the CPI measures
fluctuations in prices paid for goods and
services by urban households for a
specified month, providing the best gauge
of the inflation rate related to
purchasing those goods and services.
Changes in inflation can spur the Fed to
change monetary policy (www.bls.gov/cpi/home.htm).
Producer Price Index (PPI). It
measures the changes in selling prices of
goods and services U.S. producers receive
over a period of time. The PPI captures
price movements at the wholesale level at
three stages of production: crude,
intermediate and finished goods.
Its the first inflation measure
available each month (www.bls.gov/ppi/home.htm).
Consumer Confidence Survey. This
leading indicator of consumer spending
gauges public confidence about the health
of the U.S. economy. Its based on a
random sampling of 5,000 people asked how
they feel about business conditions, the
labor market, consumer spending, economic
growth and their employment and financial
expectations six months into the future (www.consumerresearchcenter.org).
Current Employment Statistics (CES). These
data on national employment, unemployment
and wages and earnings across all
nonagriculture industries are the
earliest indicators of economic trends
released each month. Employment rate data
show the well-being of the economy and
labor force. Wage changes point to
earnings trends and related labor costs.
Economists focus on monthly change in
total nonfarm payrolls and where jobs
were gained or lost. Payroll data show
how tight the labor market is: Tight
markets can translate into wage inflation
(www.bls.gov/ces/home.htm).
Retail Trade Sales and Food Services
Sales. These data track
monthly U.S. sales, detail changes from
previous periods and identify where sales
rose and/or fell. The numbers measure
personal consumption across retail
industries (except for autos) and track
growth or deceleration of consumer
spending. Analysts use the information to
track spending trends and forecast future
spending (www.census.gov/cgi-bin/briefroom/BriefRm).
Housing Starts. The data
show the number of single-family and
multiple-unit buildings under
construction for the month. They show how
many homes were issued building permits,
how many housing construction projects
were initiated and how many home
construction projects were completed (www.census.gov/cgi-bin/briefroom/BriefRm).
Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and
Sales. These are the
combined value of trade sales and
shipments by manufacturers in a specified
month, as well as the combined values of
inventories and business sales. Inventory
rates give clues about the growth or
contraction of the economy (www.census.gov/cgi-bin/briefroom/BriefRm).
S&Ps 500-Stock Index. Standard
& Poors market-value-weighted
index of 500 publicly owned stocks is the
benchmark of overall performance of U.S.
equity markets. It is a measure of the
nations stock of capital, as well
as a gauge of future business and
consumer confidence levels. Companies are
chosen based on market size, liquidity
and industry group representation, and
component companies are periodically
replaced (www.spglobal.com).
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