Stat Corner

    Business executives are taking a more tempered view when it comes to expectations for profit, revenue and expansion in the coming year, according to the first quarter AICPA Economic Outlook Survey, which polls chief executive officers, chief financial officers, controllers and other certified public accountants in U.S. companies who hold executive and senior management accounting roles.

    Optimism about those key performance indicators still remains high, but there has been a retrenchment in sentiment since last quarter, the survey found.  The last time a similar pullback occurred in these areas was the end of 2012. At the same time, businesses executives grew slightly more upbeat about prospects for the U.S. economy.

    • “Domestic Competition” is now the No. 2 challenge for businesses, up three spots from last quarter. “Regulatory Requirements/Changes’ remains the top challenge.
    • The number of survey takers who said their businesses are hiring immediately dropped slightly from 23 percent last quarter to 21 percent this quarter. A majority of respondents (52 percent), however, continue to say they have the right amount of employees.
    • Some 64 percent of businesses said they expect to expand in the next year, down from 71 percent last quarter.
    • Anticipated growth for profits in the coming year dropped from 3.9 percent last quarter to 2.8 percent. Revenue growth expectations also fell from 4.7 percent to 3.6 percent.
    • Some 47 percent of survey takers said the decline in oil prices has had a somewhat positive impact on their business, while 28 percent said it was neutral.


    It’s important to note that we’re seeing higher optimism on most business indicators we track than we did a year ago,” said Arleen R. Thomas, CPA, CGMA, AICPA’s senior vice president of management accounting and global markets. “But it’s also clear we’re seeing a reset this quarter on expectations for several key categories, and that’s something to be mindful of going forward,” 

    To speak to a member of the Business and Indusry Executive Committee, contact Mitchell Slepian at 212-596-6177 or mslepian@aicpa.org.

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